HOUSING UNAFFORDABILITY

A major issue of the contemporary age, not just in New Zealand but also Australia and Britain, and to varying degrees elsewhere, is today’s unaffordability of house ownership.

To counteract that we’re seeing the creation of appalling Coronation Street like, high density, small units, each clones of their neighbours.

For reasons unknown to me, my parents obtained one of our first state houses, this in 1938 in a street of mainly state houses, each sitting on a quarter acre section and all significantly different in design from their neighbours.

Today, now all privatised, those three bedroom homes in a location known as Park Avenue, they fetch circa a million dollars and more.

So what’s different to explain the current unaffordability?

First are significant social changes. The average New Zealand family, excepting maori and islanders and some Asians, are much smaller than yesteryear.

Single occupant house-holds, unknown when I was young, are now common-place. Add to that the world-wide gravitation to city living.

So why then are homes still unaffordable?

There are three basic costs in creating one.

First the land.

As I’ve repeatedly pointed out all property developers, with only one exception, ultimately go broke. The exceptions are development companies which are part of a larger, well-established other commercial activity.

Examples in New Zealand are the Todd family conglomerate and in Australia, MIRVAC, a public company.

Mirvac construct beautiful buildings but this year have incurred a massive loss on their property development division. But as part of a large business-owning conglomerate they can survive the bad years. Todds now apparently want out from this activity.

Our newspapers are constantly filled with stories of property developers going under across the country, as they always have done and always will.

Thus in seeking an explanation for the current home affordability, plainly the land component isn’t a factor as no land developer is getting rich but instead, inevitably is going broke.

The second component in home construction are materials. Thanks to technology and free trade, they’ve never been cheaper as a percentage cost component.

Finally, there’s the most significant cost in house building, specifically labour.

As a proportion of the current cost it’s never been higher, for which there’s a single very good reason, which no-one seems to have sussed, so you will read it first here.

My company, with nearly 40 prime location office buildings in Wellington, Auckland and Glasgow (Britain’s largest office city outside of London), spends circa $30 million and more annually with builders, correcting architects’ design faults, tenancy fit-outs and the like.

Because such work can be a huge nuisance to existing tenants we’re sensitive to builders’ presence and have identified the problem. THAT IS THE SO-CALLED SMART PHONE.

Go on any building site anywhere and at best a very small minority of the workers will be actually working. The rest will be leaning against the wall gazing at or jabbing cell-phones.

We recently completed a fit-out for an embassy in one of my Wellington offices buildings. This comprised cutting the floor into about 10 rooms – nothing more. It’s taken longer than it took to build the Empire State building in 1931. In Dubai, it would be done inside two days.

I’ve frequently popped up when in Wellington there to see “progress”. Always, always, I see red-vested “workers” leaning against the wall bawling into or jabbing at cell-phones. This nonsense is not peculiar to the building industry.

In Paris I have a whole floor apartment opposite the Prime Minister’s palace. For that reason there’s permanently outside in the street, five or six very large, machine-gun toting gendarmes.

I emerge and they never look at me or indeed at anyone who comes along the street. Instead with no exceptions, they’re permanently gazing at their phones, from dawn to dusk.

So too with road-works. When I drive into Wellington I encounter, coming off the motorway along Murphy Street, in a sea of cones, the two lanes merging. There are ten red vested road workers to be seen, always all sitting about engaged with their phones. That’s been the case for about six months now.

A few years ago I made significant alterations and additions to my home.

Because it was my home I was anxious for it to be done speedily so conscious of the key delay factor I made it a condition of no cell-phones on site. Some tenderers dropped out saying their employees would revolt.

The successful contractor however, got stuck in efficiently but while this was happening – one sunny morning about 7am I looked out of the kitchen window and saw emerging from his car an obese fellow who immediately leant against his vehicle and began babbling into his phone. Half an hour later he was still at it.

I found the boss in my library fitting the new bay windows and complained. He apologised and after investigating advised he was a subbie, there to do a particular half-hour job which is why he’d forgotten to tell him about the no-phone proviso.

The next morning the builder sought me out. The subbie experience had been a wake-up call for he advised me that the fellow had remained leaning against his car bawling into and jabbing at the bloody phone until after 3pm before he’d finally set to work.

So if the goal is to reduce new house prices then there’s a simple solution, namely massively reduce the all-important labour costs and ban bloody phones on building sites.

I don’t have a cell-phone as I’ve seen its damaging addiction effect everywhere and don’t wish to succumb.

 

 

13 Comments

Another article displaying good common sense, which seems to be lacking more and more in modern day New Zealand.

I think you as a customer should charge for phone downtime at a profit to yourself. Builders would be broke in a week.

Right on Bob
😎

What Sir Robert says about cell phone use on his building sites is true.

From my fast fading memory, it was the early 1970’s and I was working on the Wellington construction site know as Robert Jones House on Jervois Quay. The only phone on site was in the bosses office. There wasn’t a cell phone or laptop to be seen anywhere.

Digital semaphore via hand eye co-ordination was the order of the day while walkie talkies and hi vis vests lurked around the corner of tomorrow.

Agreed. Managing that obsession is clearly a challenge for bosses and workers.

Without question, mobile phones have become an addiction and compromising productivity. That I would agree with.

The primary reason house prices are so high relative to income has been successive governments allowance of households to take on ever increasing debt to finance their purchases. With a relatively high home ownership status in nz, price growth has created the illusion of wealth and a sugar fix for those that own their own home. Overseas banks; who care only for profit, have been making out like bandits. Their annualized profits now represent selling off mainfreight, one of our biggest ccmpanies, each year. Clearly unsustainable, which is now more than obvious.

A secondary factor has been very wealthy landbankers ring fencing our growth cities; effectively controlling the market and councils that are beholding to them with the debt they now have. Control the market, you set the price.

Another secondary factor has been the concentrated nature of the building supply industry; eg Fletcher’s through winstones control 90% of the gib supplies, and can dictate terms.

You see politicians by their very nature take the easy road to keep themselves in jobs. This has lead to the situation we have today, where multi national public companies dictate proceedings; until their customers can no longer afford their product or service and the whole system collapses.

Ask a small business owner how easy it is to set up today. They’ll tell you the entry costs are very high and over regulation a significant impediment to this. Course the other thing is banks won’t fund new business either.

For all the above reasons, a reset is immenient.

    Im going to disagree with you, having worked in the heart of the building materials supply industry and indeed for a time, for Fletchers. As an example…Gib is a national icon product, and yes they do have a very very healthy market share, the same as their Pink Batts do. Both products are Iconic to NZ, and their relative marketing of the products is extensive, as is their distribution. Many many competitors have tried to knock them off but failed, even Australian entrants who seem too think if they drop a few containers in Auckland and Wellington they can corner the market. Gib in particular has seen off Elephant board, Knauff and CSR who are all successful in Aussie, however, its a different model to market, and NZ is a very difficult market to distribute to, Its long narrow, hilly and has a difficult stretch of water in the middle as an obstacle. Along with their iconic brands, this is where Fletchers shine, they have a nationwide distribution and logistics chain, which means if you want a 1200 x 2400 wet line gib sheet in nightcaps, or KeriKeri, you can have one there later that day or the next day or pop down to the building supplies and 98% chance, they have one in stock. The other competitors entering the country fail as most are so used to working via a different model, and try and corner a small part of the market in Auckland or WEllington, ignoring the rest of NZ whilst trying to get orders and sales from builders who operate nationwide. On costs, all of Fletchers businesses compete on costs with the Aussies and international companies. They are competitive, its not about terms, those competitors have the same or similar terms in Aussie and the UK, etc etc. If Fletchers business units had difficult terms, their competitors would use that as a competitive edge to gain market share.

      Peter, you seem to ignore the fact of barriers to entry, which are many. While others have attempted to enter the market, certification for use of their product has been a barrier, including distribution.

      Fletchers are largely vertically integrated, and to some extent so is Carters, so to market and supply your new product you have very few distribution channels. I am aware ITM attempted to bring in new products to compete with the locally controls products, however ITM relies on products from both Carters and Fletchers to keep in business. As in, take it from us or nothing..

      Might I suggest the solution could be products or services that have more than 25% market penetration need to be standalone businesses (with no shareholder commonality), rather than part of larger businesses.

      With the gutless politicians we have (who talk around in circles), I can’t see the solution happen anytime soon.

Right on Bob😎

Christopher Fallows October 1, 2024 at 12:47 pm

Thanks Bob.

I certainly agree that mobile phones have a major negative effect on production and social behaviour. On observing a number of building sites my estimate is that over 80% of workers retire to their vehicles for smoko and stab at their phones. This is sad.

In my late teens I worked as a fitter’s mate at Imlay Freezing Works in Whanganui. Smoko was a highlight for me as the older guys would discuss what they got up to in the weekend (very enlightening), teach me the finer skills of euchre, tell me to vote labour (and why) and even discuss the upcoming afternoon’s work. All important life skills! There was also the religious guy advising of the date of the second coming. Stuff I learnt then serves me well today!

I own a heavy vehicle maintenance company and while we don’t enforce a no-phone rule, the mechanics usually wear gloves and otherwise have oily hands and therefore don’t want to dirty their phones.

Finally, I do have a phone but try not to use it. Sometimes while waiting at the pub for a mate I will just sit and observe. I suspect that other patrons consider me a dangerous weirdo.

Cheers, Christopher.

If you watch Parliaments question time you can see many MP’s from all parties heads down looking at their cell phones, which suggests they have no interest in what is going on. These are the people who we employ to make and debate legislation which affects all NZ’rs.

I was recently in the Gym watching a painter . In the whole hour or so he only managed to paint about a 40cm x 60 cm rectangle. I am not exaggerating. He was sole charge , getting on and off his step ladder constantly to look at his phone. At one stage stage he just stopped and walked around before going back and looking at his phone. It was at this stage I realised the only way to sort this out, is to pay all staff or contractors on actual work completed.

I actually own a small group housing company , where 90% of people are on contracted fixed sum , however we do have people on charge up with the resultant low productivity . Ultimately we will be paying for contractors low productivity as well . I have been toying around with ways to build cheaper, hence my thoughtful watching of him.

Interestingly the reason everyone is on contract, is many years ago I was hiring the ex boss of a large building company to run part of my property development business. I hadn’t signed the contract and went on holiday ,where I read one of your books explaining why developers go broke. To my horror I still recall the part where you explained developers ramp up their structures and are on the treadmill of chasing more work to keep everyone employed, the exact same thing I was doing ! Upon returning I promptly cancelled the contract and shortly thereafter the inevitable correction occurred validating your theory and saving me immense amounts of money and heartache. Thank you for that .

Unfortunately I have realised the easiest way to make money in property is buy it and simply sit on it . Dreadfully boring however, so I persist in developing. Developers like designing and building stuff .

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